Watch this Week’s Update from New York
Before diving into the details, we encourage you to watch this important conversation with Andrew Tucker, filmed during the UN General Assembly in New York. His insights as a lawyer specializing in international law shed light on the fast-moving developments shaping Israel’s future.
Recognition of a Palestinian State
Several nations—including the UK, Australia, Portugal, France, and Canada—used the sidelines of the General Assembly to officially recognize “Palestine.” Andrew explains that this recognition is not the creation of a real state but rather a political gesture. According to international law, statehood requires functioning institutions, effective governance, and the ability to represent a people—all of which remain absent in both Gaza and the West Bank. For now, the recognition exists only on paper, but it risks fueling instability by rewarding avoidance of negotiations and emboldening Hamas.
Does It Change the War in Gaza?
Despite the diplomatic fanfare, Andrew stresses that this move has no immediate effect on the ground. Israel continues its war against Hamas with strong U.S. backing, while Hamas itself welcomed the recognition. Ironically, countries like France argue this recognition isolates Hamas, but Andrew warns it may do the opposite—emboldening them with the sense that international pressure is working in their favor.
Israel’s Past Efforts for Peace
Some argue that Israel’s policies brought about this wave of recognition. Andrew disagrees, pointing out multiple peace offers since the Oslo Accords of 1993—including major proposals in 2000, 2008, and 2016—all rejected by Palestinian leadership. He believes Israel has consistently shown willingness to compromise but insists genuine peace requires both sides to engage seriously—something impossible while Hamas remains in power and war continues.
Iran and the Snapback Sanctions
Another major development tied to the Assembly is the UN Security Council’s decision to reinstate sanctions on Iran under the JCPOA “snapback” mechanism. Originally suspended in 2015, these sanctions will automatically return this October due to Iran’s continued nuclear violations. For Israel, Iran’s nuclear ambitions remain one of the gravest existential threats, making this a crucial step in containing Tehran’s destabilizing influence.
Looking Ahead
Andrew offers a sober outlook: peace will remain elusive until Hamas is defeated and Palestinians can establish genuine, accountable leadership. Recognition without reality does not bring peace closer; instead, it risks deepening the conflict. For now, he foresees a long and difficult road ahead before meaningful negotiations can resume.